Gemini 3 score on FrontierMath Benchmark by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini 3 model achieves a score of 70% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (epoch.ai) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. x.com) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.